We better start building the bring-out-your-dead carts then. (View Post)

I hope we are that lucky. My prediction is that today is the busiest testing day ever as people contemplate having to go back to work or school, and that cases for today will be over 100k once the nu… (View Post)

Curiously the one hour limit wasn't actually law, but just something Gove had said that then got amplified by the media: http://www.reading.ac.uk/news-and-events/releases/PR841058.aspx (View Post)

For the worst restrictions quite possibly. But it will be a slow climb back down the tiers as the R rate and the hospitalization rate decline. The R rate is still the more important because it acts e… (View Post)

Do not underestimate the power of exponential spread. A 70% reduction in hospitalisations per case is only worth a week and a half at R=2. (View Post)