The overall case numbers don't tell you much, because as you say they're affected by restrictions as well as the virus. Vaccinated vs unvaccinated case numbers are more interesting, althoug… (View Post)

There are tentative signs that he's finally learned the lesson. https://www.theguardian.com/world/2021/jan/21/johnson-raises-fears-of-covid-lockdown-in-england-continuing-into-summertime Althoug… (View Post)

That chart should be looked at in wider context, because it completely ignores the main input to the system, which is our behaviour and the R rate resulting from that. It basically assumes that R is … (View Post)

Yep, Blackadder's Duke of Wellington was wrong. Leadership isn't about shouting, but sustained bullshitting. (View Post)

Also, the efficacy applies to infection on each day, right? With serious symptoms on day 4 already, the infection would have happened before the vaccine. There's nothing the vaccine can do if th… (View Post)