? Last 7 days per 100,000: Wales 191.4 Scotland 135 Northern Ireland 175.4 England 230.3 Whole pandemic: Wales 2,341.6 Scotland 1,648.8 Northern Ireland 2,647.9 England 2,353.6 From https://coronavir… (View Post)

Okay, let me try a slightly different tack. Two coins, hundred throws each. For each one, the expected heads is 50. But due to random variation, when doing hundred throws each and then picking out th… (View Post)

It's cherry-picked because we're picking the 90% subsample over the 62% one, without knowing why they should be different. The statistical analysis has to account for the possibility that t… (View Post)

For each day, that's adding up the last seven days of reported cases, divided by population. That smooths out variations from weekday to weekday while being responsive to the most recent data. E… (View Post)

Fourth day in a row with a week-to-week fall in cases in England. 17845 v 24540 last Friday (and 20268 the week before). Decline started 11 days after the start of lockdown, which lines up pretty wel… (View Post)