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Re: Senedd shake-up: what happens if Welsh Labour lose their majority? – politicalbetting.com
The SNP in 2007 at least was the largest party, with Salmond becoming FM because the minor parties abstained in the FM vote. Minority government becomes much harder when other parties actually have t…1 -
Re: CNN reporting that McConnell is privately saying he wants Trump gone – politicalbetting.com
Agreed, but as with the vaccines, the effect on the R rate multiplies week after week, while the effects on hospitalisations and deaths per case are one-off factors.1 -
Re: On Betfair the odds on Trump being convicted drop below 20% – politicalbetting.com
The average age of Covid cases in ICU is around 60. https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-555869941 -
Re: On Betfair the odds on Trump being convicted drop below 20% – politicalbetting.com
Also, airports and planes of course are completely exempt from the risks of airborne transmission that pubs and busses suffer from.1 -
Re: On Betfair the odds on Trump being convicted drop below 20% – politicalbetting.com
The 7-day average by reporting date saves the discussion of how many of the last few days by specimen date need to be ignored, and has a little bit less lag. The cases number and chart on the "D…1