Gaussian

You're feeling a bit rubbish over the weekend, but hoped it would just go away. Now it's Monday morning, you're still feeling rubbish and you decide to phone in sick, at which point you better also a… (View Post)

One factor that's missing from those assessments is that reopening hospitality likely has a greater impact in a big(ish) city where everyone heads into the city centre, compared to more rural areas w… (View Post)

Thousands?!? In a city of 450k, in a week until the next review, and with furlough available? If they're overcautious, it's probably due to letting things get out of control (again) in September and … (View Post)

Absolute numbers at something like 9 cases a day there are so low though that randomness can play a big role. One bad cluster and the average can really shoot up. But I agree that level 2 is bound to… (View Post)

Unfortunately he's pretty safe on that one, because all of Europe and the US have screwed up so badly on it. (View Post)