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Re: On the Smarkets exchange it’s a 14% chance that Trump will still be in the White House after January
What's more, the Spiegel article strongly suggested that it was French protectionism of Sanofi that led to smaller later EU orders. (View Post)1 -
Re: Boris’s Christmas U-turn ain’t going to be good for his popularity – politicalbetting.com
I don't think it makes sense for it to be a constant addition to the R number. If you were able to isolate everyone, R would be zero no matter what. A 1.4x factor would be more plausible, turnin… (View Post)2 -
Re: The other side of the bet. The ethics of political gambling. – politicalbetting.com
The summer holidays should have been the perfect chance to drive the virus to near extinction. Maybe bring them forward a bit to and sync them up across the UK, as home learning wasn't very effe… (View Post)1 -
Re: Liz Truss moves from a 100/1 shot for next PM to 33/1 in just two weeks – politicalbetting.com
What's the most likely coalition if Labour, Con and PC all ended up with >15 seats (meaning two of them would be needed for any government)? (View Post)2 -
Re: For years Trump’s favourite term of abuse was “loser” – now he’s in danger of owning the brand – pol
Doubling the NHS, if it was possible at short notice (which of course it isn't), is worth about a week when fighting against a virus that doubles in a week when left uncontrolled and that has th… (View Post)3
