So as we move into the last hours of the Con government, I can't help but think how disappointing it has been. Love them or loathe them but Thatcher and Blair transformed the UK. This iteration of th… (View Post)

I suspect the answer is something like this: There is a tranche of constituencies which are close where Reform are slight underdogs. While they are not favourites in any of these constituencies, prob… (View Post)

Just been trawling through the seat markets using the Yougov MRP. Best odds i got were: Runnymede and Weybridge - LD - 12/1 (YouGov has Con 31, LD 30) NE Hampshire - LD - 7/1 (YouGov has LD 39, Con 3… (View Post)

YouGov has Con keeping 102 seats but complete wipeout in NW, NE and Wales. Con actually gain a seat in Scotland (Gordon and Buchan) but lose 3 others (View Post)

A few things: - As Bristol is a nice place to live, it has tended to attract right on types coming down from London. - In addition the new Bristol Central seat has a lot of students and workers from … (View Post)