Last election - Lab 53%, Ref 18%, Con 16%, Green 6%, LD 5%. You would probably expect Lab to hang on in any by-election but Reform would certainly have a good go at it. (View Post)
The question then is what terrible secret is Trump supposedly hiding. Considering there is so much stuff about trump in public domain already (View Post)
See here: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/ 2% isn't enough. Harris needs to be 4% up to be sure of winning the Electoral College. A 1% Harris lead means Trump wins the Ele… (View Post)