Last election - Lab 53%, Ref 18%, Con 16%, Green 6%, LD 5%. You would probably expect Lab to hang on in any by-election but Reform would certainly have a good go at it. (View Post)

Labour will have to suspend him now. Looks career ending to me. (View Post)

The question then is what terrible secret is Trump supposedly hiding. Considering there is so much stuff about trump in public domain already (View Post)

Sorry In 2020, Biden was 4.5% ahead in the popular vote and won the tipping point state of Wisconsin by 0.6% (View Post)

See here: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/ 2% isn't enough. Harris needs to be 4% up to be sure of winning the Electoral College. A 1% Harris lead means Trump wins the Ele… (View Post)