Yep. I voted Con in 2019 for the first time and I can't think of one single positive reason to vote for them. And the big danger is that negative reasons e.g. Stop Labour, Reform is a wasted vot… (View Post)

Just to follow up on my own post. South Holland - 71% Brexit, 13% Labour in 2019 - 16/1 Reform to win with Sky bet Also had a small be on Amber Valley - 65% Brexit, 27% Lab in 2019 - 33/1 Reform to w… (View Post)

Someone did an interesting analysis on Vote 2012: Applying YouGov's latest poll to their MRP would give Reform three seats: Boston & Skegness: 2% majority Clacton: 1% majority Ashfield: 0.3%… (View Post)

Don't forget Scottish nationalism as well (View Post)

On the YouGov, we should see what everyone else comes up with, but one thing i would argue is that the fact that Corbyn was so marmite, pushed up both main parties in 2017 and 2019. If we look at the… (View Post)