Yeah, but that works the other way from Ref > Con too. (View Post)

It really highlights what we already know, which is that the Conservatives are doing very badly, though probably not dropping to Con/Canada 1993 levels. Labour are doing OK but are quite short of the… (View Post)

Would translate to Lab 36% Con 24% Lib-Dem 17% in projected national share of the vote. (View Post)

Nah. Most of these Con > Ref switchers will go back to Con at the general election, IMO. Con will survive - As they always do. (View Post)

Yeah, we're in swingback territory now (albeit there's no sign in the opinion polls. Yet) (View Post)