Blackpool South by-election - 26.3pt swing is 7pts greater than the seat in MRP averages, 10pts higher than national polls and, most crucially, larger than my graphic was designed for. Reform slightl… (View Post)
The real election numbers we're seeing from Reform remain more consistent with them getting 7-8% in a general election than 15%. But it's still enough to do serious damage to the Tories. https://twit… (View Post)
Big swings in Plymouth against the Tories. https://twitter.com/BritainElects/status/1786247798930681921?t=seQn2zn1FxIJ9JJ5CPMfyQ&s=19 Mercer doomed, maybe not good news for backers of Penny too. … (View Post)