The discrepancy between polling and GE for Labour voters was rather anomalous, but the extraordinary thing was the voting efficiency. The Labour voters turned out where it mattered and didn't wh… (View Post)

Of those outside parliament, Andy Burnham is far and away the most likely. He is generally thought to be doing a good job in Greater Manchester, is authentically Northern and has a lot of support. Da… (View Post)

I think Starmer would go voluntarily in 2028 having "fixed the foundations" and be replaced by a more charismatic leader such as Rayner or Phillipson. A lot depends on Deliverism, in partic… (View Post)

Not for some years. According to official UAE figures the TFR for Emirati women is 3.1 in 2022, down from 3.7 in 2015.… (View Post)

I have been musing on retiring to Africa, so perhaps the Golden Marigold Hotel is not such a bad Idea. A great article here on the decline of dating, which presumably is upstream of fertility for mos… (View Post)