Selzer is good, but I would always be a bit sceptical of a poll of just 808 people in one state. No poll is better than its sample. (View Post)

I have no problem with social conservatism, and in many ways am myself. Key for me though is letting others live differently if they choose. It makes no sense to me to favour economic freedom and wan… (View Post)

I think she will rub a lot of people the wrong way, particularly if she goes heavy on the social authoritarianism of the National Conservatives. I think she is quite socially conservative herself, bu… (View Post)

I think this is why Badenoch was the better choice. Jenrick was continuity sleaze. Kemi's victory speech was clear that big mistakes were made by the Tories in office and that they need to have … (View Post)

Selzer has quite the reputation. I have £22 at average odds of 12.15 on betfair, so £245 if Selzer is right, and topped up with a tenner at 12/1 on Ladbrokes when this dropped. I think there is a Wal… (View Post)