I think that over egging it in Aberdeen South. The SNP vote was down 4%, and SLAB down 19% but the turnout was down a massive 28% at 31%. So tactical voting, but also voters in Scotland much less int… (View Post)

A bit of caution @Andy_JS also predicted a cliffhanger/recount in Makerfield. While some of us predicted that Burnham would comfortably win with a majority greater than the Restore vote. (View Post)

Notably and unusually the turnout in the byelection was several percentage points higher than the last GE. I think that the very efficient Labour vote and Ming Vase strategy of Labour in the GE faile… (View Post)

It is now only a question of timing for when Burnham becomes PM, and who he puts in his cabinet. I am sure that we will see the return of Haigh and Rayner and surely a few fresh faces. Burnham thrash… (View Post)

I think he is mostly jockying for a cabinet post. Burnham is clearly going to walk it. Half the PLP were in Makerfield wanting to touch the hem of his garment. (View Post)