Yes, I got it wrong on Aberdeen South, but my point was that the Holyrood constituency was not congruous with the Westminster one as many were saying. (View Post)

Anyone who thinks Kenyon "a reasonable candidate" has clearly been on the Kool-Aid! (View Post)

I think that over egging it in Aberdeen South. The SNP vote was down 4%, and SLAB down 19% but the turnout was down a massive 28% at 31%. So tactical voting, but also voters in Scotland much less int… (View Post)

A bit of caution @Andy_JS also predicted a cliffhanger/recount in Makerfield. While some of us predicted that Burnham would comfortably win with a majority greater than the Restore vote. (View Post)

Notably and unusually the turnout in the byelection was several percentage points higher than the last GE. I think that the very efficient Labour vote and Ming Vase strategy of Labour in the GE faile… (View Post)