The two scenarios are different. In one, you have information about the bag as a whole. In the other, you have information about a specific apple. I ran through all the possibilities in the other thr… (View Post)

First one is easy. There were 8 ways to pick 3 but one scenario (all bad) has been eliminated. Leaves 12 good choices out of 21 permutations = 57% Second one is slightly longer (maybe unnecessarily) … (View Post)

Getting a good one at random changes the probability distribution of the whole set. If the first random choice is good it becomes more likely that there were 3 or 4 good ones to start with. I'll run … (View Post)

Not got time to read all this, but anyway, my final conclusion was: If I got to pick one from child B by touch, one would be slightly warmer because it had just been handled. So I'd pick that one. (View Post)

Well, the good news is I now have a figure, although they will not send it in writing. I rang the phone number on the letter, and was told it was the wrong part of DWP (not the 'bereavement service')… (View Post)