FFS, I thought we were done with this. In scenario A, you do not know the state of any individual apples. You only know something about the combined state of 3 apples. Can you explain what you think … (View Post)

But you also know BBBG is less likely than GGGB, despite them being equally likely before the test. Alternatively, if you assign the tested apple as "apple 1" then it works as Barty suggest… (View Post)

Final comment on apples: https://xkcd.com/356 (View Post)

The two scenarios are different. In one, you have information about the bag as a whole. In the other, you have information about a specific apple. I ran through all the possibilities in the other thr… (View Post)

First one is easy. There were 8 ways to pick 3 but one scenario (all bad) has been eliminated. Leaves 12 good choices out of 21 permutations = 57% Second one is slightly longer (maybe unnecessarily) … (View Post)