Sunak is an unproven lightweight with terrible judgement who has only been popular when giving away unaffordable amounts of money. He may be ready in a decade or two. Hunt and Raab has made plenty of… (View Post)

I agree. "Get Fit" would have been much better. That's the one thing that people can do to reduce their likelihood of dying from coronavirus, and be much less likely to suffer from a w… (View Post)

I think given Five Eyes and so on we'd be much closer to the US than the EU. Especially if America elects a sensible President in November. I also think we should tack much closer to other major… (View Post)

One pedantic point - the variable was seat share, not vote share. But this doesn't affect what you're saying. You can, of course, omit outliers, but I must admit I hate doing so, unless I&#… (View Post)

Strictly, because the time series tested was the proportion of Conservative seats out of the total, we're talking about the predicted proportion in 2024 as a function of the proportion in 2019. (View Post)