She'll also probably be PM FOR a few months, when everybody works out how utterly incompetent she is and how no-one wants her except the nuttiest of the Labour Party. And the 2027 locals will pr… (View Post)

But that "price" is just plucked out of thin air, isn't it? It has even less validity than the spurious 8%. I could just as easily assert that leaving the EU has benefited the economy … (View Post)

That and the huge wave of immigrants from the A10 member states post-2004. The government estimated that 13,000 would come, and at least three or four million turned up. One day politicians will lear… (View Post)

indeed - the reason I highlighted it was not that it represents the academic consensus (there isn't one) but because it has permeated our political debate, with the Chancellor referencing it sev… (View Post)

No of course we can't KNOW - that's the nature of social sciences, where there are rarely if ever precise counter-factuals. If there were, economists, sociologists, etc., could be replaced … (View Post)