Hang on though, according to last night's Devon result, the LibDems should be on 50%, with a 38% swing since the last election. Either that, or mid-term by-elections are utterly meaningless as a… (View Post)

I agree he is no Margaret Thatcher. But there are plenty of constraints on a Prime Minister's arbitrary power in this country - he is not the President of Russia, or even of France or the United… (View Post)

The other difficulty is that Boris is leading from the centre-left in many ways - high taxes, high spending, green crap, etc. So it's actually quite difficult for Labour to outflank him having j… (View Post)

I don't agree: - many democracies manage to protect human rights without being members of the ECHR. - we somehow had human rights before we joined. - many of the recent improvements in human rig… (View Post)

Funnily enough, it is almost exactly consistent with the only precedent. In May 1991, 12 years after the May 1979 election, the average Labour lead was 4%. Of course, Labour went on to lose the follo… (View Post)