OK, it's early days, but there are indications and they aren't promising. Given the disastrously cumbersome and bureaucrtic planning system, and Labour's plans to just tinker with it, rather than ref… (View Post)

Yes markets are excellent at predicting the current state of play but lousy at forecasting the outturn. Options and futures markets are the same - the strike price is an excellent predictor of the cu… (View Post)

Sort of tangentially related to that, in Winston Churchill's private secretary's memoirs, there is an entry about the death of the last person he knew who had met the great Duke of Wellington. An int… (View Post)

On topic, interesting statistics. They probably show that Harris is a mediocre to poor candidate and essentially continuity Biden without the senility, but enough people are so desperate to avoid fou… (View Post)

If Labour didn't ditch a dud like Brown I doubt they'll ditch Starmer. Both are uncharismatic and damaging for the country but neither is obviously worse than the other. Of course Starmer could get s… (View Post)