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Re: A 5% return in just over a week? (and potentially 40% in over a week?) – politicalbetting.com
Iran wants money. It won't reopen Hormuz until it's paid to do so. Trump hasn't worked out a way to pay Iran without embarrassing himself. Hormuz will stay closed until he does. (View Post)2 -
Re: Brexit Effect: Summary and conclusions – politicalbetting.com
I would say the loss of influence through Brexit is real and of greater consequence than people think. Nevertheless it's a side effect of leaving rather than a reason to stay in the EU per se. I… (View Post)2 -
Re: Brexit Effect: Summary and conclusions – politicalbetting.com
Broadly I would say Brexit has two upsides and four downsides for the UK. Upsides: 1. Flexibility. The EU takes forever to come to decision. The UK can be more nimble, eg Covid vaccines. 2. Greater a… (View Post)3 -
Re: The correct answer is of course octopi – politicalbetting.com
Blame Thatcher for the Norwegians selling us oil and gas now (Blair too but Thatcher's more resonant). Was she mentally ill and did she hate this country? (View Post)2 -
Re: The correct answer is of course octopi – politicalbetting.com
The answer is Adenauer. It's not close. He was an annoying person, about 105 when he finally left office and senile, but the post-War settlement in Europe and between Europe and the United State… (View Post)1