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Re: The State of the Union Week 2 – politicalbetting.com
Yeah but this is the politics equivalent of "we all die". This is true. At some point Labour will be replaced and in the absence of alternatives the replacement is likely to be the conserva… (View Post)1 -
Re: The State of the Union Week 2 – politicalbetting.com
I agree with that. The important thing the Tories did in 2024 was to avoid extinction, which wasn't a given if the polling before the election had been accurate. They will live on to fight anoth… (View Post)3 -
Re: Could this sway Tory MPs? – politicalbetting.com
Ironically an outcome of the WFA business might be a higher take-up of Pension Credit, which will do vastly more for reducing pensioner poverty than WFA, while costing the State more overall once the… (View Post)1 -
Re: Could this sway Tory MPs? – politicalbetting.com
Because WFA goes almost entirely to people who don't need it. The people who might get caught out are those not applying for benefits they qualify for, in particular Pension Credit, which is a m… (View Post)4 -
Re: Could this sway Tory MPs? – politicalbetting.com
The Tories could win in 2029 but several unrelated things probably need to align. Most importantly they need Reform to disappear and for current Reform voters to switch to them so they don't los… (View Post)3