Yes, the table in the tweet isn't actually there. It's the totals from each day, so not hard to rebuild. Took me about 5 minutes plus a bit more to understand the layout. I've long ago concluded the … (View Post)

It confused the hell out of me for a while, because I'm used to seeing the tables the other way up. No matter. This is what we non-life insurance actuaries call a claims numbers triangle. This is eas… (View Post)

That makes sense to me. I suspect this thinking may well be driving the 50% load they've applied to the first year mortality load of their "85 year old obese male diabetic smoker" (p3). My … (View Post)

I can't find a direct link, but I guess keep watching Actuarial Post? If I see a link I'll PM it to you (if I remember). I know a few people on the group, and may get involved myself if the day job c… (View Post)

Purely because you were "complaining" about "Keith" Starmer earlier, I do feel duty-bound to point out that it's Arron, not Aaron. You may or may not care, of course. (View Post)