No, that isn't how modelling works in practice. If you understand the model you've built then you know to within a few percentage points how it will react if you change the inputs. Otherwise you have… (View Post)

I think the issue is more about judgment than technical modelling acumen. It's not that hard to build a mathematical model that converts inputs like transmission speed, fatality rates etc into a pred… (View Post)

Staff hospitals with sick people? That sounds like a bad idea on multiple levels. (View Post)

You are presumably absolutely certain that there are no dyslexic Conservative MPs who could have been responsible? (View Post)

That's not how WhatsApp works; the mis-spelling will be because whoever leaked the conversation will have her name mis-spelled in their phone. (View Post)