In other words, many left wing politicians and activists believe voters are chess pieces, and it is their job to figure out how to most efficiently move them around the board to their best advantage.… (View Post)

Yes, agreed, and I was trying to phrase it in as non-tin-hat-wearing a way as possible. But I still think if you believe that argument then you're basically saying the modellers are doing it on purpo… (View Post)

1) Fear of the public inquiry, and being blamed for people dying 2) A career of making models, the results from which never actually mattered in the real world 3) Over-focusing on the downside risk d… (View Post)

Only because it's instructive to understand why he was so incredibly wrong. (View Post)

The point is that you're not supposed to blindly follow the answer; you're supposed to interpret it along with the known model limitations and key uncertainties, plus all the available quantitative i… (View Post)