El_Capitano

Survation is showing the Greens taking West Worcestershire, but not Bristol Central, Waveney Valley or indeed North Herefordshire. That's... unexpected. (View Post)

The logic is that (a) the LibDems are more ruthless with their targetting (b) no-one is voting tactically for the Conservatives. I think both are true but not necessarily to the extent that Survation… (View Post)

Burying the lede, the SNP, and the Conservatives in the same grave. As one of PB’s two resident organists I’m willing to forego my usual rate for the funeral. (View Post)

Both can be wrong. MRP approaches have not been ground-truthed in an election like this. One (YouGov) did well in 2019, under very different circumstances. Any MRP is only as good as the demographic … (View Post)

OT: #qtwtain (View Post)