El_Capitano
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Re: Final Survation MRP predicts a truly terrible night for the SNP – politicalbetting.com
The logic is that (a) the LibDems are more ruthless with their targetting (b) no-one is voting tactically for the Conservatives. I think both are true but not necessarily to the extent that Survation… (View Post)1 -
Re: Final Survation MRP predicts a truly terrible night for the SNP – politicalbetting.com
Burying the lede, the SNP, and the Conservatives in the same grave. As one of PB’s two resident organists I’m willing to forego my usual rate for the funeral. (View Post)5 -
Re: Are we set for the greatest polling failure in history? Sunak thinks so – politicalbetting.com
Both can be wrong. MRP approaches have not been ground-truthed in an election like this. One (YouGov) did well in 2019, under very different circumstances. Any MRP is only as good as the demographic … (View Post)3 -
Re: Are we set for the greatest polling failure in history? Sunak thinks so – politicalbetting.com
OT: #qtwtain (View Post)1 -
Re: Chronicle of a bet foretold: Thin gruel – politicalbetting.com
Oh come on. There are rampers of all parties on here. Learning who is who, and treating their posts accordingly, is PB 101. (View Post)1
