El_Capitano
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Re: Final Survation MRP predicts a truly terrible night for the SNP – politicalbetting.com
Burying the lede, the SNP, and the Conservatives in the same grave. As one of PB’s two resident organists I’m willing to forego my usual rate for the funeral. (View Post)5 -
Re: Are we set for the greatest polling failure in history? Sunak thinks so – politicalbetting.com
Both can be wrong. MRP approaches have not been ground-truthed in an election like this. One (YouGov) did well in 2019, under very different circumstances. Any MRP is only as good as the demographic … (View Post)3 -
Re: Are we set for the greatest polling failure in history? Sunak thinks so – politicalbetting.com
OT: #qtwtain (View Post)1 -
Re: Chronicle of a bet foretold: Thin gruel – politicalbetting.com
Oh come on. There are rampers of all parties on here. Learning who is who, and treating their posts accordingly, is PB 101. (View Post)1 -
Re: Chronicle of a bet foretold: Thin gruel – politicalbetting.com
Sunak in Banbury and Witney this morning. Conservative majorities of 17000 and 15000 respectively. Losing both would be not quite ELE but not far off. (View Post)2
