Both can be wrong. MRP approaches have not been ground-truthed in an election like this. One (YouGov) did well in 2019, under very different circumstances. Any MRP is only as good as the demographic … (View Post)

OT: #qtwtain (View Post)

Oh come on. There are rampers of all parties on here. Learning who is who, and treating their posts accordingly, is PB 101. (View Post)

Sunak in Banbury and Witney this morning. Conservative majorities of 17000 and 15000 respectively. Losing both would be not quite ELE but not far off. (View Post)

Keir Starmer was in Oxfordshire this afternoon. His chosen venue: a sourdough bakery three miles from Soho Farmhouse. I think the Gail's Political Singularity is fast approaching. (View Post)