I think it will make only a small difference to youth turnout: 1) Everyone my age assumes that Labour will get in 2) Everyone hates the Tories anyway. Diminishing marginal returns HOWEVER Millennials… (View Post)

FYI The Redfield & Wilton poll will be published at around 5pm UK time, if last week is anything to go by. (View Post)

I've done some constituency level analysis and found that Green votes are likely piling up in Labour safe seats, while Reform votes are much more widespread. This is based on age distribution, h… (View Post)

I checked the same comments and... it wasn't true: https://www.facebook.com/theliverpoolecho/posts/pfbid031mNdAXJZMW3ZjzSt99NbALMfrAfwTRDXXSg5EsssJqpaE3gDN4C6onGdrZqAq1uKl (View Post)

The problem is so much of the effect will be caught by changes in turnout rather than swings to other parties. (View Post)