EPG
-
Re: Is Biden going to stand again? – politicalbetting.com
You mean when the BBC forced him and the controller of Radio 2 to resign? (View Post)6 -
Re: Fifty Shades of Grey Voters. Sunak’s punishing polling – politicalbetting.com
I think it's likely that homebuyers have a very strong preference for car parking spaces, because they tend to be parents, and they have lots of options in the existing stock with which new hous… (View Post)1 -
Re: Why Labour’s chances of winning a majority are more than 50% – politicalbetting.com
I don't think it is conclusive that Thatcher would have been ousted, let alone lost in 1984, in the absence of a war. 1. Before the war, the Alliance had already won three by-elections, suggesti… (View Post)2 -
Re: Why Labour’s chances of winning a majority are more than 50% – politicalbetting.com
I've now read the statistical model above, thanks for that. In general, since N=2 for changes of governing party since the 1980, I think it's very difficult to characterise changes of gover… (View Post)1 -
Re: Why Labour’s chances of winning a majority are more than 50% – politicalbetting.com
Countries don't tend to elect paranoid populist when things are going great. GDP may well drop but you'd need to somehow compare like with like: the countries in a mess that voted non-popul… (View Post)1