An irrationally large part of my brain is imagining a news programme decal on 4 July at 10pm saying "too close to call - Conservatives 315-330 seats - majority possible". (View Post)
Have there been boundary changes? I think this otherwise needs quite a deep Tory increase in majority to be a win. And this is not the type of urban seat where the Lab voters boycott over Gaza. (View Post)
He thinks a 42-31 lead means NOM? Respectfully, that can't be Curtice's considered opinion. Even under UNS, but more importantly, Labour will not be taking 85% in random Islamic / student districts o… (View Post)
I've no real local expertise, mainly a lot of reading. The main factor this time is the modest changes to the boundaries - the underlying political situation remaining much more stable. In fact Hanna… (View Post)