It's an asymmetric system. Labour is usually the change party, Conservatives usually the no-change party, Thatcher being the big exception. English people dislike change. Compare to French or Am… (View Post)

When the Conservatives gained about 1.5 per cent in GB, while Labour lost about 8.5 per cent, it didn't really matter where the gains and losses were, as long as it wasn't in real heartland… (View Post)

One humongous piece of evidence against stories of 2019 as a realigning-election. The Conservative vote went up a lot more in their 2017 strong constituencies. For 2017 vote share between 50-70% (i.e… (View Post)

When did Obama overtake Clinton in national polling. It must have been during 2008? Biden still enjoys 10+ point leads in national polling. (View Post)

I think this is possible, but under-determined in the absence of sources, and the Labour bit in particular is party-political tendentious, nobody said "I like non-British people better than Andy… (View Post)