EPG
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Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » On the LAB leadership betting markets Starmer and Long-Bailey
When the Conservatives gained about 1.5 per cent in GB, while Labour lost about 8.5 per cent, it didn't really matter where the gains and losses were, as long as it wasn't in real heartland… (View Post)1 -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » On the LAB leadership betting markets Starmer and Long-Bailey
One humongous piece of evidence against stories of 2019 as a realigning-election. The Conservative vote went up a lot more in their 2017 strong constituencies. For 2017 vote share between 50-70% (i.e… (View Post)3 -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The Leave seat with a miniscule LAB majority that didn’t fall
When did Obama overtake Clinton in national polling. It must have been during 2008? Biden still enjoys 10+ point leads in national polling. (View Post)1 -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » How a CON majority moved from a 31% chance to victory – the GE
I think this is possible, but under-determined in the absence of sources, and the Labour bit in particular is party-political tendentious, nobody said "I like non-British people better than Andy… (View Post)2 -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » How a CON majority moved from a 31% chance to victory – the GE
If we are being literal, Rotherham did not involve a literal choice by teachers' unions, and immigration was not literally "used quite deliberately" to drive down wages in quite enough… (View Post)2