FPT So from the paper, it's because the UK is getting sicker. Source for the RF paper https://www.health.org.uk/sites/default/files/2023-07/Working%20paper%20-%20A%20microsimulation%20model%20fo… (View Post)

The statement is just incorrect, 55% of the benefit bill goes to pensioners and given the demographics it's unlikely to change much. (View Post)

Quite a lot of the people on working age benefits will be working hard, they just don't get paid much. Where are your numbers from? DWP has following for 25/26 - 55% of welfare bill on pensioner… (View Post)

The plot of OBR deficit forecasts over time probably looks like a cross-section of the Lake District... It would be interesting to see a plot of forecast vs actual over time. (View Post)

A cheery thought that the neighbours' refurbishment might push them over the threshold, as I listen to the sound of East European builders bouncing rubble off the side of my house and digging ou… (View Post)