If there were swings to Conservative elsewhere in Wales (Spoiler: Nowhere else in Wales). Probably more likely the two-term incumbent retiring and the lack of independent and minor party candidates (… (View Post)

Welwyn Hatfield Borough Council: Conservatives drop from largest party to 3rd place, Labour 20 (+8), Lib Dems 15 (+2), Conservative 11 (-10), 2 seats yet to declare, 1 Lib Dem defence and 1 Conservat… (View Post)

I'm not really buying the Street and Houchen running away from the Tory brand - all mayoral elections are about personal image particularly for incumbents. Look at Andy Burnham's manifesto … (View Post)

In theory, the fact there's borough elections in the outer West Midlands but not in Birmingham should benefit the Conservative candidate. If we look at the Avon & Somerset elections, the tur… (View Post)

Reform UK only stood in 8 of Southampton's 17 wards and didn't stand in either Conservative defence. They potentially cost the Tories 3 seats (wards where the Reform vote was more than the … (View Post)