Take Labour claims about the importance of winning Cumberland with a pinch of salt. After all It’s the London Borough of Cumberland, not the Red Wall! (View Post)

Even though under all polling Burnham polls worse than Starmer - okay. And I watched him run two leadership campaigns, both of which were terrible. (View Post)

Rachel Reeves (View Post)

https://twitter.com/GoodwinMJ/status/1522527673301585920 "They will never vote Boris again" "Johnson has killed the Tory brand" "Partygate is a total game changer" "… (View Post)

Rushed calcs from me. Red Wall/marginals = 3-4% swing to Lab from GE19 = 2% swing to Con from LE18 Safer Tory/ex-LD territory = 9% swing to Lab from GE19 (due to big Con drops to LD/Grns really) = 3%… (View Post)