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However, when the invasion started, I think the consensus was that if Ukraine could last two weeks it would have done better than expected. Certainly no-one expected Ukraine to launch a counter invas… (View Post)

I'd also add that he is wrong that the west has underestimated Russian economic and military strength. The reverse is true. The was in Ukraine is one of those occasions where doing the morally right … (View Post)

I think there's quite a lot of genetic evidence to that effect - though if you're asking me for a source I would have to gesture vaguely in the direction of my bookshelf and mumble. But genetics show… (View Post)

*Raises hand* - I'm tentatively predicting the collapse of Russia, within 20 years or so. But there's a lot can happen between now and then. Very broadly, we are much better off if we are in a positi… (View Post)

But there wasn't a movement west. That is the '1066 and all that' version. The modern Welsh in, say, Cardiganshire, are to a surprising extent the genetic descendents of Britons who lived in Cardigan… (View Post)