The 4% fall in GDP compared to the counterfactual is completely implausible, but can never be proven nor disproven. But the fact that the French and German economies are getting hammered as much as, … (View Post)

That can't be right, surely? What if Sunak got hit by a bus? Surely the monarch would in practice just appoint the least controversial choice - which would surely be a cabinet member. Hunt, prob… (View Post)

I reckon between 50and 75. (View Post)

Off thread: Lancs are playing Notts in the T20 at Trent Bridge tomorrow. Bet365 make Notts, heavy favourites, despite Notts' record of no wins, four losses and Lancs' position at the top of… (View Post)

The latter. It was the story that people remember, it encapsulated why people didn't like Labour. So we may be talking at cross purposes. Did it shift votes? I don't think anything much shi… (View Post)