Five minutes later the punch ups start again - just like a family Christmas! (View Post)

The four polls that matter are out there and the mesage is clear. Labour 36-38 (Survation are outliers on 41) Cons 19-21 Ref 15-17 (ipsos ae on a low 15 - phone poll?) LD 11-13 (Verian at 13 while th… (View Post)

Not just 'we can vote Green' but 'we can vote Reform'. People are relaxed that the Cons are toast and get to 'waste a vote' without fear. It is the downside of the long-term Lab strategy of safety fi… (View Post)

I always knew that Harry Cole was a closet Bolshevik (View Post)

Survation are phone pollsters - they have Reform at 17% which is pretty much level with the others. I think Ipsos might be too - they had them at 15% a week ago so also not notably light. I agree the… (View Post)