Survation are phone pollsters - they have Reform at 17% which is pretty much level with the others. I think Ipsos might be too - they had them at 15% a week ago so also not notably light. I agree the… (View Post)

PB is the forum for a range of Norfolk predictions and so here are the thoughts of Chairman Clutch 1) Norwich South - Clive Lewis may be an idiot but he is their idiot. Safe Lab Hold. 2) Norwich Nort… (View Post)

Don't forget the chance of a polling error. If that lead was 4 or 5 points lower would it surprise any of us? The problem with that is that the 'shy' and 'undecided' right-wingers seem to be breaking… (View Post)

Good news. No need for analysis of the reasons for the likely GE result. ColdWarSteve has summed it up (NSFW). https://x.com/coldwarsteve/status/1807350713481068941 (View Post)

On topic - I remember every week on The Week Is Westminster for about two years before 1997 Peter Kellner would come on and downplay the likelihood of a Lab landslide. He was right according to what … (View Post)