I did enjoy that Richard Holden interview. Who would have thought that the 'brains' behind Currygate was this crap at politics? (View Post)

Local elections and by-elections suggest the Cons are at a low ebb but nowhere near extinction levels. I'm sticking by 150-200 seats, probably at the lower end of that. I would be genuinely astonishe… (View Post)

On topic - am I alone in thinking there won't be a Ref/Con cross-over this weekend or anytime this campaign. There can always be a rogue poll and Redfield Wilton or YouGov are friendly to Ref but a p… (View Post)

Savanta poll is the mirror of the Opinium one. Following a movement to Con last week it has swung back this. Savanta does move around a little more but this was by far the Cons friendliest poll and i… (View Post)

Two weeks ago Opinium was an outlier for the Cons, last week it was an outlier for Lab. That 6-point movement was very startling and especially so with Opinium This week looks like a reversion to the… (View Post)