On topic - The growing volatility in politics means that this figure is a neat statistic but doesn't really tell us anything. If your majority went from -80 to +300 in 5 years then it can reverse in … (View Post)

The word that dare not be spoken - but MoonRabbit is right. Look at the Ipsos and YouGov MRPs. The Lib Dems did much better in the latter and that is the difference between polling a well targeted 13… (View Post)

I doubt the folk currently running CCHQ will have much influence after the election on Con candidate lists or indeed anything else. P45s all round if the new leader has any sense and a one-way ticket… (View Post)

So the polls aren't converging - well lets look at the three companies with the best recent records Verian (ex-Kantar) / Survation / Opinium Con 21/20/20 Lab 39/41/40 LD 13/12/12 Green 7/6/9 Ref 13/1… (View Post)

For almost 25 years we have had the Portillo moment but all things move on - In a week and a half will we all be asking - 'Were you up for Aberdeenshire North and Moray East?' (Probably not - but the… (View Post)