On topic - It should be noted that ElectoralVote give a headline figure but they have always (at least since I started following them in 2012) stressed that the figure of votes beyond the margin of e… (View Post)

On topic - the big issue here is the quality of US polling. It is clear that (oddly) National US polls have a much better record than state polls. We are all in serious danger of a 'Garbage In Garbag… (View Post)

That's OK but as J D Vance has proved sometimes the more a public sees of a politician the less they like of them. (View Post)

That's good stuff. I hope Princeton's mdel is better than its old state polling used to be. FWIW I'm with the Cook Report on this. (View Post)

On topic - we have actually had five sets of battleground polls over the last few days. Morning Consult have a good past record and are best for Harris. Two others would give Harris a narrower victor… (View Post)