It seems like there is a lull in both polling and politics at the moment. I enjoyed Reeves' Mais Lecture by the way (I am a researcher at Bayes btw, so it is a must to watch). I thought her overall s… (View Post)

Me (View Post)

Smarkets for London mayor Khan: 95.5% Hall: 3.5% Just saying 🤷 (View Post)

The poll deficit will not shrink. Quite the contrary it will widen. It will hammer home that you have no clue what the tories stand for and it could change next week again. Are they big state centris… (View Post)

This is fantasy mate. Globalization is stone dead. Regionalization and great power competition is everything. Our neighbours are overwhelmingly important as trade partners. Global freight is expensiv… (View Post)