Well that´s a bit glib. ;-) There are several problems, not least the age of the data and the contrast with the headline poll numbers and trends. There is also the very narrow gap in several constitu… (View Post)

By the way I do think those suggesting that the Tories stay above 200 seats have forgotten the fact that in 1997 they only won 165 and that was with 30& of the vote. My view was roughly 130 based… (View Post)

Well this is the acid test for MRP polling. Certainly no clustering here. If this is indeed the result then it will be an earthquake, the like of which we have never seen before. For me, and I think … (View Post)

Not sure that will be the case. In the North East of Scotland, the last declaration in 2019 was around 5.30. However I think the Highlands, Western Islands, O&S and St Ives were not done until la… (View Post)

He is 70, and does not particularly enjoy the spotlight. I think if he retires, he retires, this could indeed be his swan song. (View Post)