I think turnout will be low. I think Labour will have a record landslide in seats. I think that landslide will come on less that 38% of the vote. I think the SNP will hold the majority of Scottish se… (View Post)

...and the Bear will fall in tomorrow... (View Post)

The problem is that this election may in fact be only the first episode in a longer term realignment. The Tories will get nowhere if they can only wave fictitious apocalypses in the air. The failure … (View Post)

Sunak is not the reason for the Tory defeat. Whatever his weaknesses he is just the fall guy. The damage was done by the fall of Johnson and the disastrous Truss weeks. The polling collapsed then, an… (View Post)

Yes. Nils was of course Estonian, and I spent many happy, and quite bibulous, hours at the feet of the master. I did talk to John Hodson and Cato quite regularly, But Nils was one of the greats, I st… (View Post)