I don't think pooh-poohing Rawnsley's argument here works, either as thesis or as tactic. The fact that the Tories have not collapsed, despite figures such as Jenrick walking out is, I thin… (View Post)

Its all about the squeeze... If the Tories can squeeze the RefUk vote, they are in with a shout. However 7/4 isn't especially tempting. (View Post)

Richard Thomson is a nice enough guy, but perhaps it just shows how tricky a seat Gordon (and Buchan) has become, that he managed to lose on only his first defence, albeit by a whisker and with unhel… (View Post)

The saner choice of the insane choices, perhaps. Not withstanding the polls, it does feel like we are hitting peak Farage, and a combo of a recovering Kemi and the prospect of Labour stopping their h… (View Post)

Trump got 49.4% of the vote. However, the fact is that Farage got 14.4% and 5 seats at the last general election, and even if his vote has risen since then in the locals and in the polls, he barely h… (View Post)